Asset Allocation: Where have we been?
Highcroft Wealth Shield has preserved capital during the bear market.
U.S. Stock Market Extremely Over-Valued
Four charts outlining the extremely high valuation of the stock market in 2024.
Asset Allocation: Where have we been since 01/01/2022?
Highcroft Wealth Shield has preserved capital during the bear market.
Asset Allocation: Where have we been?
Highcroft Wealth Shield has preserved capital during the bear market.
Recession Red Flags – All 5 Flashing Danger
All five dependable recessionary red flags are indicating that we could be in a recession soon.
Bear Market Persists - Be Cautious
A handful of stocks are responsible for the YTD S&P 500 return, the broad market remains in a bear trend.
Stock Market Loses -34% During a Recession, On Average
The S&P 500 has lost an average of -34.9% during the last 14 recessions, going back to the 1920s.
Bear Market Halftime?
Bear markets coincident with bubble valuations and inflation tend to take years to work themselves out.
Stocks Flat for Four Years
The average stock in the United States has been flat over the past four years.
Broadly Diversifed Index of US Stocks Flat Between 1998 and 2022
Looking at the Value Line Geometric Average one could argue that U.S. stocks have struggled to provide returns.
Don’t Fight the Fed - a Good Stepping off Point
As long as the Fed is raising interest rates stock market rallies will fail at trend.
Don’t Fight The Fed, Bear Market Rally is an Opportunity to Reduce Risk
Rallies in a Bear Trend are Common, the Market is in a Bear Trend.
Recession, Stagflation, and Falling Stock Prices
Two quarters of negative GDP growth in a row is the standard definition of a recession.
The Correction Began In 2021
The loss of momentum, leading to a stock market correction, was clear by the summer.
Bear Trend Likely to Continue?!
Stock markets broadly are in a bear trend, exhibiting lower highs and lower lows.
2021 - Volatility, Stocks Struggle
Unless you owned the most expensive stocks investors experienced volatility and flat returns.
Inflation Or Stagflation?
The highest inflation rates in 40 years could lead to stagflation.
Wealth Shield Update - Stop Out to Cash
Our rules based trailing stop discipline has shifted the majority of our allocations to cash and bonds.
Could the S&P 500 Fall -50% in 2022?
High Inflation could cause stock prices to fall dramatically.
The Everything Bubble
The Fed has created a bubble in real estate, the bond market, and the stock market through money printing and artificially holding interest rates low.